Advertisement
Advertisement
Boxingscene.com

CompuBox Analysis: Alfredo Angulo-Erislandy Lara

By CompuBox

More often than not, opposites attract in boxing and observers hope that will apply to Saturday's junior middleweight showdown between left-handed Cuban boxer Erislandy Lara and straight-ahead Mexican volume-puncher Alfredo Angulo. Both are highly rated contenders who are poised for a crack at one of the four major belts and their match will go a long way toward proving who is ready and who is not.

Factors that may sway the result can be found in their CompuBox profiles. Consider:

Lara vs. Volume: Angulo is perhaps the best volume-puncher at 154 today but the good news for Lara is that he's fared well against high-octane attacks. Although he officially "lost" to Paul Williams, the decision was so horrid that all three judges were suspended. That's because despite throwing far fewer punches over 12 rounds (530 for Lara, 1,047 for Williams), Lara's sharpness was impeccable -- 42% overall, 28% jabs and 49% power -- while Williams' was not (19% overall, 14% jabs, 21% power). Those dynamics added up to Lara connect advantages of 224-200 (total), 46-39 (jabs) and 178-161 (power) and a compelling case for victory.

In his most recent fight against Freddy Hernandez (W 10), Lara faced a 71-punch-per-round attack, above the 58.4 junior middleweight average. Again, Lara was extraordinarily precise as he landed 44% of his total punches and 64% of his power shots en route to connect advantages of 246-128 (total), 29-13 (jabs) and 217-115 (power). The Cuban's defense was also excellent as he tasted just 18% of Hernandez's overall punches, 6% of his jabs and 23% of his hooks, crosses and uppercuts. By way of comparison, the average junior middleweight absorbs 31% overall, 22% jabs and 37% power, so Lara's defensive numbers should be considered outstanding.

The only other Lara opponent to exceed the division average was Grady Brewer, who cranked out 69.8 punches per round before being stopped with 16 seconds remaining in the 10th and final round. Lara again was far out-punched (459-698) but came out way ahead in the final connect totals (166-93 total, 68-9 jabs, 98-84 power) and was more accurate (36%-13% total, 32%-2% jabs, 40%-31% power).

What all this proves is that Angulo has to do more than just throw punches for throwing's sake; he must add a dimension or two if he wants to win.

An Added Dimension?: For such an aggressive fighter, Angulo has a very active jab. In his last seven CompuBox-tracked fights Angulo averaged 38.6 jabs (#3 among active fighters- Malignaggi 46; V. Klitschko 40) thrown/ 6.5 landed per round -- way above the 24.7 junior middleweight average . He landed 17%. (wgt. class avg is 22% landed for jab, 5.4 landed per round).  In his most recent fight against Jorge Silva, Angulo averaged 39 jabs per round and landed 19% of them, which helped fuel his extremely accurate power punching (52%).

But is the jab effective against southpaws? Not so much.

Fellow banger James Kirkland -- the only lefty on Angulo's profile -- effectively neutralized Angulo's jab by beating "Perro" at his own game. After overcoming a knockdown in round one, Kirkland went on to average 90.8 punches per round -- including 64 power shots -- and out-landed Angulo 206-74 (total), 51-13 (jabs) and 155-61 (power). Angulo threw just 19.7 jabs per round and landed 11% of them, which, in turn, led to a sub-par performance in power accuracy (29%).

So if Kirkland -- not exactly a ring scientist -- can neutralize Angulo's jab, what will the slick Lara do?

Dee-fense!: This may be the decisive factor in Lara's favor, for the Cuban is an excellent defender while Angulo is definitely not. In his last five CompuBox-tracked fights, Lara has been struck by a combined 20% of his opponents' total punches.   Lara landed 34% of his total punches in those five fights giving him a +14 rating- tied for #5 among active fighters on CompuBox's plus/minus list. (Mayweather +24; Alvarez +18; Santa Cruz +16; Lara +14; Rigondeaux +14).  

Angulo has a -1 rating in his last 7 fights.  He landed 29% of his total punches, while opponents landed 30% of theirs.  In his last fight, the 20 yr. old Jorge Silva landed 43% of his power shots.  Brawler James Kirkland landed 40% of his power shots vs. Angulo.
Against  a sharpshooter like Lara this trend line could be disastrous, especially since Angulo has been known to cut.

Prediction: This fight could unfold a number of ways, but given their histories the most likely scenario would be Lara out-boxing and out-foxing the aggressive Mexican en route to a decision victory.

User Comments and Feedback (Register For Free To Comment) Comment by fantasy5021 on 06-08-2013

Should be an easy fight for Lara. IMO he's a lot more talented and a more complete boxer

Comment by DannYankee on 06-08-2013

[QUOTE=BIGPOPPAPUMP;13457090]More often than not, opposites attract in boxing and observers hope that will apply to Saturday's junior middleweight showdown between left-handed Cuban boxer Erislandy Lara and straight-ahead Mexican volume-puncher Alfredo Angulo. Both are highly rated contenders who are poised for…

Post a Comment - View More User Comments (2)
Top Headlines Eddie Hearn Smiles: I Think We've Got Deontay Wilder Cornered! Dorticos Warns Gassiev: An Atomic Bomb Will Drop in Russia! Brook: Confident I'll Beat Queen Khan, Rabchenko is 50-50 Fight Roach Gives Crawford Edge Over Spence: The Best Fight in Boxing Frampton: I'm Biggest Draw at 126, Donaire is a Must-Win Fight Golden Boy Prez: Wilder is Most Talented in Division, Beats Joshua Parker's Promoter Sees Tyson Fury as a Camp Boost For Joshua Malignaggi Warns: Horn Will Not Be That Easy For Crawford Barthelemy Takes Advantage of Delayed Date For Relikh Title Fight Nico Hernandez vs. Jozsef Ajtai Set For February 10 Miguel Cotto, Golden Boy Announce Series of Shows at PR Presser IBF Goes Through Some Changes To Start Off The New Year The Contender is Officially Coming Back in 2018 - On EPIX Photos: Ryota Murata, Emanuele Blandamura - Go Face To Face Spence: If Anybody Saw Flaws They Can Capitalize On - Call Al! Parker: Joshua Doesn't Take Criticism Well, I'll Smile at His Punches Otto Wallin Assures That Adrian Granat Showdown Will Happen Errol Spence on Keith Thurman: I'm Gonna Smoke Him Easy! Weekend Review: Spence Impressive, Easter Struggles, More Javier Fortuna: I'll Go to Easter's Hometown to Get My Rematch Spence: 'I Have No Idea' if Garcia Would Fight Me Next; Ask Him! Errol Spence vs. Lamont Peterson: Afterthoughts Usyk Training Very Hard, Calls Briedis His "Biggest Challenge" Yet Jamie Moore Talks Shooting, Recovery, Frampton-Donaire Anthony Joshua Plans To Be Quicker, Aims To Crack Parker's Chin Jayson Mama Wins WBO Regional Belt With TKO Victory Cesar Barrionuevo Blasts Out Adrian Veron in One Round Andy Lee, O'Sullivan Both Ready To Face Daniel Jacobs Ryota Murata vs. Emanuele Blandamura on April 15 in Japan Errol Spence - 'The Truth' About Ambition Shannon Briggs: After I Beat Fury, They Must Give Me Title Shot! Mares on Santa Cruz Rematch, Valdez-Quigg, Frampton-Donaire Petit vs. Kasmi Ends in Violence After Riot Erupts - Video Joshua Admits That Parker's Steroid Taunts Got Under His Skin DiBella Doubts Arum Wants to Put Crawford in With Spence Now Anthony Joshua Explains Why He's in No Rush To Fight in America Joseph Diaz: I Want To Beat Gary Russell, Unify 126 By 2019 Gilberto Ramirez Would Travel to UK For Groves, Eubank, Smith Parker's Promoter: Exposing Joshua's Glass Jaw Got Us The Fight Porter: Spence Isn't an Option Next; I'm Not Ranked By the IBF
Advertisement

Latest Active Forum Threads
Advertisement
Advertisement