Advertisement
Advertisement
Boxingscene.com

BScene Staff Predictions: Mikey Garcia-Juama Lopez

By Jake Donovan

Mikey Garcia insisted that he had no intention of losing his featherweight title in his very first defense.

That dream died on the scales Friday afternoon, when the unbeaten rising star missed weight by two pounds for Saturday’s HBO-televised showdown with former champ Juan Manuel Lopez.

A six-figure settlement later, the show still goes on live from the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. The belt Garcia brought into town is now only at stake for Lopez (33-2, 30KO), who has won two straight since returning from a lengthy suspension following his second loss to Orlando Salido last year.

Lopez ran into trouble when making defamatory comments towards referee Roberto Ramirez Sr., insisting the third man and his son (who officiated Lopez’ title losing effort to Salido the year prior) were on the take and that he was the victim of a premature – and predetermined – stoppage. The comments netted the Puerto Rican southpaw a year on the sidelines, though the suspension was modified to roughly nine months.

Garcia (31-0, 26KO) appeared on the undercard of Lopez’ second loss to Salido, coming up big himself in a dominant stoppage win over Bernabe Concepcion. Much of his career has played out in that fashion, overwhelming opponents without ever looking like he’s expending any energy.

The same was the case in his HBO-televised stoppage win over former titlist Jonathan Barros, setting the stage for his first title claim, a lopsided technical decision win over Salido this past January. Garcia sent the defending titlist to the canvas four times within the first four rounds, but was forced to quit on his stool after eight rounds due to a broken nose that severely impaired his breathing ability.

A lengthy stay atop the featherweight mountain is most likely not in his future. Even with a win tonight, Garcia appears destined for the super featherweight division. So too does Lopez, unless he is able to win the title tonight and then coax Nonito Donaire – Garcia’s stablemate – to move up in weight for his next fight.

Who will get their way tonight and thus setting up a bright feature? Read on to see how the staff at Boxingscene.com believes the biggest fight of this weekend will play out.

PREDICTIONS – MIKEY GARCIA vs. JUAN MANUEL LOPEZ

“I think that the Garcia-Lopez fight will be more competitive than people expect for the first 5-6 rounds. I think JuanMa will land a couple of big shots early on that get the Mexican-American's attention. Garcia is a very patient fighter and I expect him to be no different in this fight. The second half of the fight will be when Garcia starts to pick apart the Puerto Rican and I think he still stop him in the 10th.”
- Ryan Burton (Garcia TKO10)

“I will go a bit against the grain and predict that this one sees the final bell. Garcia’s where he is by avoiding the type of war that everyone is expecting here. JuanMa will try his hardest to make it a slugfest, to which Garcia will exploit by piling up rounds. Moments of competitiveness will make the bout entertaining, but never truly competitive.”
- Jake Donovan (Garcia UD)

“I know all the reasons why Garcia should win - skill, momentum, a convincing victory over a common opponent. Still, I can't help but think Lopez has at least one more of the efforts in him that made him one of the sport's biggest young stars not all that long ago.”
- Lyle Fitzsimmons (Lopez TKO10)

“I feel Lopez will make this a war while it lasts. I agree with Cliff when he says he may have been written off too soon. Lopez has a lot to lose a challenger. He will be willing to go out on his shield and unfortunately for him he probably will. I expect Garcia to box well early until Lopez drags him into a dog fight. Lopez will have the edge in the middle rounds until fading allowing the younger fresher Garcia to drop him multiple times en route to a 10th round TKO.”
- Tim Kudgis (Garcia TKO10)

“Lopez is still game.  Garcia is for real.  Garcia bested Lopez's conqueror and he will conqueror Lopez as well, albeit by taking some punishment himself.”
- Richard Nadjowksi (Garcia TKO7)

“A few years back, I liked Mikey Garcia's chances of emerging as a top featherweight champion, and with his and Lopez's careers having been heading in separate directions in recent years, it's hard to go against him here. I like Garcia to stay smart, pick his shots against Lopez, and eventually break through and score a late TKO.”
- Chris Robinson (Garcia late TKO)

“Garcia KO Lopez: Part of me thinks Lopez is being way too written off, and that Garcia is still far from proven.  However, in terms of technical soundness, Garcia is rock solid and Lopez still walks into blind shots.  Add in worsening reactions to shots over time and this looks like Garcia finding a KO shot sometime in the second half.”
- Cliff Rold (Garcia late TKO)

“Lopez is a heavy underdog but I think the Puerto Rican warrior gives a valiant effort. I expect to see Lopez get off to a fast start and actually find success early on. The success will be short lived as Garcia will begin to figure him out. JuanMa will resort to going to war (what he does best) but will pay the price for it once again as he's stopped late in the 10th.”
- Luis Sandoval (Garcia TKO10)

“Juanma isn't playing it safe, that's for sure. However, after losing in almost back-to-back atomic collisions with Orlando Salido, he would have better be padding his way up with Aldimars and Olivers of the world. Against young, rough and surprisingly calm Garcia, Lopez will be in trouble all night long. He can surely land several nasty blows, but will it be enough to stop Mikey in his tracks? Hardly believable; Garcia, while putting a steady pressure, will (sooner or later) find a great spot for his right hand. Lopez can survive it a couple of times, but the end is inevitable - a kayo win for Garcia.”
- Alexey Sukachev (Garcia TKO7)

"As game as JuanMa is,  as willing as he is to engage in highly entertaining fights it's that very reason that I think it end early. Garcia is too precise for JuanMa to go after with any abandon and he catches JuanMa early and often." - Ernest Gabion (Garcia KO4)

Totals: Mikey Garcia 10, Juan Manuel Lopez 1

The featherweight championships between Miguel Angel ‘Mikey’ Garcia and Juan Manuel ‘JuanMa’ Lopez takes place Saturday night at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. The bout headlines an HBO-televised doubleheader, which begins at 10:45PM ET (9:45PM local time).

Jake Donovan is the Managing Editor of Boxingscene.com, as well as a member of Transnational Boxing Ratings Board, Yahoo Boxing Ratings Panel and the Boxing Writers Association of America. Twitter: @JakeNDaBox

User Comments and Feedback (Register For Free To Comment) Comment by ChiTown2Diego on 06-15-2013

Excited for this fight tonight yet at the same time never liked the matchup as far as JuanMa's concerned. He should still be in rebuilding mode when you consider the quality of his last couple performances. I guess his handlers…

Comment by PRBOXINGCOTTO on 06-15-2013

Everybody thinks garcia will win by tko they forgot lopez had a year off to recover and is fresh lopez by tko mid rounds garcia will be in a war all night and wont be able to quit like he…

Post a Comment - View More User Comments (2)
Top Headlines Marcos Reyes Plans Shocker: David Lemieux is NOT Invincible 30 years later, Tim Ryan on Leonard-Hagler and the Golden Age Mikey Garcia: If Gamboa Can Get a Title, I Would Fight Him Miguel Cotto Ring Return Being Positioned For June 24 Jermell Charlo: Hatley Hasn't Fought Near My Level of Competition Kudryashov-Durodola Rematch - WBC Final Eliminator, May 20 Juan Manuel Marquez Files Lawsuit Over Fraud, 2.3 Million Stolen Luis Ortiz: After My April Fight - I Want Wilder, Joshua or Parker! Srisaket Sor Rungvisai Receives Hero's Welcome at Home Arum Tired of Waiting, Gives Pacquiao Deadline To Decide on Horn Sullivan Barrera: Parker Fight is Another Step To a World Title Luis Ortiz vs. Derric Rossy Possible For Berto-Porter Card Froch: We May See The 'Best and Last' of Klitschko With Joshua Photos: Alberto Machado, Juan Jose Martinez - Go Face To Face Mayweather Gets Partial Win Over Ms. Jackson in Court Ruling Fonfara: Training With Virgil Hunter Will Make Me a Better Fighter Francisco Vargas Might Not Return to Ring Until Sometime in 2018 Samuel Clarkson: I'm Ready To Go To War With Dmitry Bivol! Josh Kelly will face Jay Byrne in Pro Debut on Burns-Indongo Luis Ortiz Inks Pact With Al Haymon Frank Warren Hits Golovkin With Deadline To Ink Saunders Deal Canelo vs. Chavez - Movie Theater Information Photos: Marco Huck, Mairis Briedis - Face To Face at Final Presser Joe Cordina To Make Pro Debut on Murray-Rosado Card, April 22 Roach Hopes Cotto Still Gets in Two Fights Before Retirement Mikey Garcia: If I Go Up To 140, I'd Be Interested in Crawford Fight Roach: 'I Would Love' to Have Pacquiao Fight Keith Thurman Roach: I've Changed My Mind, Golovkin CAN'T Beat Andre Ward! Anthony Joshua Reflects on His Roots, Connection To Nigeria Juanma Continues To Motivate as Clash With Entrenadorcito Nears Liam Smith Vows To Use Williams To Make Statement To Critics Video: Freddie Roach on Pacquiao, Cotto, Golovkin, More Amir Khan Not Ruling Out Conor McGregor Fight in UFC or Boxing Kennedy Katende Ready To Do Damage in Sundsvall, Sweden Abel Sanchez: Ward Will Beat Kovalev, It Won't Be Controversial Errol Spence: 30,000 Fans Rooting For Kell Brook Won't Faze Me Video: Robert Garcia on Mikey, Golovkin-Jacobs, More Marco Huck vs. Mairis Briedis: Torch Songs Video: Abner Mares Discusses His Career, Future Options Golovkin's Coach Reacts To De La Hoya's Position on June Fight
Advertisement
Latest Active Forum Threads
Advertisement
Advertisement