Advertisement
Advertisement
Boxingscene.com

B-Scene Staff Predictions: 'MAY DAY' PPV Sales

By Jake Donovan

Several challenges are in store for Floyd Mayweather on Saturday evening, not all of which exist in the ring. Conversely, the more difficult challenge for the sport's pound-for-pound king may not come from the fists of Robert Guerrero, but from his ability to carry an event on his own.

Tonight's pay-per-view event serves as Mayweather's debut with Showtime after having spent the majority of his career on longtime industry leader HBO. Showtime has dramatically closed the gap between the two, even winning in the ratings during dueling televised cards on April 27. 

Still, this pay-per-view telecast comes without a marketable B-side - Guerrero's story is well-known in boxing circles, but hardly a mainstream attraction. The show also serves as the first time since 2009 in which Mayweather will not benefit from Saul 'Canelo' Alvarez serving as part of the supporting cast.

The show was originally designed for the two to appear in separate bouts. However, Alvarez opted out after unsuccessfuly securing a guarantee from Mayweather and the event's handlers that a head-on collision was in store for September.

That leaves Mayweather's name to carry the show. 

Will it be enough to continue his current run of surpassing the one-million pay-per-view units sold plateau (which also happens to be the unofficial break-even point)? 

Read on to see how the staff at Boxingscene.com believes tonight's major event will fare at the box office.

B-SCENE STAFF PREDICTIONS: 'MAY DAY' PAY-PER-VIEW UNITS SOLD

"1.4 mill"
- Damien Acevedo (over 1 million)

"Pre-fight program ratings aside, there's no denying that Showtime and CBS have done a hell of a job in promoting the product, as well as Swanson Communication and Golden Boy Promotions. People don't necessarily need to watch every show to know an event is going on; awareness is enough to segue to intrigue. Along with maintaining his '0', Floyd will also remain the sport's most bankable fighter, pulling in 1.25 million buys. Not enough for the record books, but enough for everyone to enjoy a profit." 
- Jake Donovan (over 1 million)

"I'm not sure it's the competitive match that Mayweather/Cotto was, but I think Guerrero's done a good enough job of selling the fight that it'll get to a range somewhere between 800K and a million buys."
- Lyle Fitzsimmons (under 1 million)

"Mayday will do 675,000 buys and will not be formally announced." 
- Ernest Gabion (under 1 million)

"1.1 million"
- Ryan Maquinana (over 1 million)

"MAY DAY May 4 Pay-Per-View show will do 1.2 million buys."
- Richard Najdowski (over 1 million)

"Is this the fight where Floyd dips below a million buys?  Considering all the exposures its had, that would be a bit of an upset.  It won't match Cotto, but let's go 1.1 (million)."
- Cliff Rold (over 1 million)

"One million buys. This fight is relying solely on Mayweather's name alone and without Saul Alvarez on the undercard to lend a hand, Mayweather's drawing power will be tested. Money however is indeed the sports biggest draw and with the help of CBS, Showtime, All Access and his two documentaries, it will be enough to keep Floyd's PPV buys in the 7 figures."
- Luis Sandoval (Even)

Totals: Over 1 million - 5; Under 1 million - 2; Even - 1

Jake Donovan is the Managing Editor of Boxingscene.com, as well as a member of Transnational Boxing Ratings Board, Yahoo Boxing Ratings Panel and the Boxing Writers Association of America. Twitter: @JakeNDaBox
User Comments and Feedback (Register For Free To Comment) Comment by chaosisme on 05-04-2013

[QUOTE=FALLENSOLDIER;13326255]what streams are you lookin at???[/QUOTE] same ones every week. be a guru or something

Comment by chaosisme on 05-04-2013

is this a serious article? if you care about ppv sales and think paying per view is a good thing, you're a chode. i dont pay for basketball playoffs or care how much money their sponsors rake in. wtf. i…

Comment by FALLENSOLDIER on 05-04-2013

[QUOTE=turnedup;13326169]I will just say the free streams are excellent tonight!![/QUOTE] what streams are you lookin at???

Comment by ailicec on 05-04-2013

If this fight does over 800,000 then mayweathrr fights in September, if not then he knows better not to go up against Marquez vs Bradley and Canelo. Fight ends in the 8th round, with Guerrero's corner throwing in the TOWEL.

Comment by turnedup on 05-04-2013

I will just say the free streams are excellent tonight!!

Post a Comment - View More User Comments (13)
Top Headlines Stevenson Wants to Face Smith in NY; 4/29 Negotiations Ongoing Errol Spence Stays Ready in The Gym as IBF Scenario Plays Out WBC Reacts To Behavior, Controversial Comments By Angel Garcia Sullivan Barrera Accepts Artur Beterbiev IBF Eliminator WBA President Gives Status on Heavyweights, PED Testing, More Luis Ortiz vs. Jarrell Miller Could Top First Matchroom Card in U.S. Video: Michael Conlan Discusses His Pro Debut in March Joshua Coming To America, as Hearn Begins Build To Wilder Fight Felix Diaz Dares Crawford: Fight a Real Challenge, I'll Go To Omaha! Cotto vs. Kirkland, Lemieux vs. Stevens Land on BoxNation Photos: Anthony Mundine, Tim Tszyu Putting in Work Photos: Haye, Schaefer Hold Presser To Announce Their UK Deal Erislandy Lara-Yuri Foreman Card Generates 547,000 Viewers Photos/Weights: Patrick Nielsen, Dina Thorslund Ready For Bouts David Haye, Richard Schaefer Team Up, Launch Hayemaker Ringstar Froch: Smith is Not Ready For DeGale, Should Face Dirrell First Pedro Diaz on N'Dam's Big KO Win, Golovkin vs. Jacobs, Gamboa Luis Ortiz: Miller Will Have To Back Up The Crap He's Talking Adonis Stevenson: Unfair Haters Call All of My Opponents 'Bums' Danny Garcia: Not Worried About Critics Who Won't Say it to My Face Eubank Jr: In a Rematch I Would Annihilate Saunders in Four! Pacquiao: In The Eyes of The People - I Beat Floyd Mayweather Andrew Selby Faces Diale For WBC Regional on Eubank-Quinlan Wilkins, Karkardi To Appeal BBBofC Bans Over Nick Blackwell Manny Pacquiao: I Would Fight Conor McGregor - Only in Boxing De La Hoya Worried: Chavez Jr. Could Derail Canelo-Golovkin Plan Danny Garcia on Father's Racial Jabs: I've Heard Trump Say Worse! The Return of Zab Judah Ricardo Mayorga Holds Press Conference, Reveals April 1 Return DeGale: Mayweather Came To My Room, I Doubt I'll Work With Him! Cuadras Sides With Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. To Take Down Canelo Canelo-Chavez: Big Promotional Tour on Tap, Big Undercard Plans Photos: David Lemieux, Curtis Stevens - Face To Face in Montreal Chris Eubank Jr: I Can Beat Gennady Golovkin, He's Not The Truth! Photos: Adam Lopez vs. Danny Roman - Official Weigh-in Leo Santa Cruz: I’ll Fight Different Than in First Frampton Bout Froch: I'm Very Confident Callum Smith Beats Anthony Dirrell Juan Jose Velasco Faces Fernando Marin in WBA Regional Clash Oscar Valdez Yearns For Gary Russell Unification Bout Dejan Zlaticanin: I Will Catch Mikey Garcia and Knock Him Out
Advertisement
Latest Active Forum Threads
Advertisement
Advertisement